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Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry Points
Player Prop - 5/4/2025

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry comes in at the 100th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, totaling 11.2 per game this year.

Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry ranks in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 32.4 minutes per game away from home this year.

The Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Stephen Curry has made 5.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made in all games this season away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to offense, the Warriors's poor 45.0% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-worst in the NBA this year.

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have notched 12.8 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, marking this as a tough matchup for offensive production.

The 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Warriors.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Golden State Warriors.

Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 1.7 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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