Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 5/2/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · May 2, 2025

Updated May 3, 2025 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has tallied 31.2 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 7.6 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
Stephen Curry has attempted 11.1 3-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.
Stephen Curry has averaged 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 6.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
The matchup against Houston is a favorable one for scoring; when the Rockets are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have posted the 9th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (45.5%).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

When it comes to shooting, the Warriors's poor 45.0% field goal percentage settles in as the 5th-weakest in the league this year.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Warriors.

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