Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 30, 2025

Updated Apr 30, 2025 11:18 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has attempted 11.2 treys per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Stephen Curry has tallied 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Stephen Curry has successfully made 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Favors Under

The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have notched 12.8 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Rockets, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive productivity.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Rockets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
The matchup against Houston may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Houston Rockets are at home (least in the league).

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