Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 20, 2025

Updated Apr 21, 2025 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has notched 28.3 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.6 higher than he's notched in all games this season.
Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry slots into the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game this year.
The Rockets have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in the NBA while playing on the road with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.
Stephen Curry has successfully made 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's put through the net overall this year on the road.

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 45.2% field goal percentage settles in as the 5th-lowest in the NBA this year.
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have scored 12.8 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Rockets, making this a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
The matchup against Houston may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 1.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Houston Rockets are on their home court (least in the NBA).
Stephen Curry figures to see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories considering being on the road in this matchup.