Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Orlando Magic vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 27, 2025

Updated Feb 28, 2025 4:58 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has attempted 21.7 shots per game over the last 10 games, 3.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Stephen Curry has averaged 31.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 42.3% on 3-pointers (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Magic, marking this as a favorable matchup.
The 8th-fastest pace away team in the league over the last 8 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Warriors will likely see a decline in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Magic).
As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Warriors's lackluster 20.7 foul shot attempts per game ranks 5th-worst in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Magic, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.
Stephen Curry will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production across the board.

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