Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 23, 2025

Updated Feb 24, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has notched 28.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's notched over the course of the year.
Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry registers in the 100th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, registering 11.2 per game this year.
Stephen Curry has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a strong matchup.
The 9th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Warriors.

Favors Under

In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Golden State Warriors's subpar 19.7 foul shot attempts per game on their home court measures as the 6th-worst in the NBA this year.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, struggling to draw fouls.

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