Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 13, 2025

Updated Feb 14, 2025 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has averaged 33.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
Stephen Curry has attempted 11.2 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game this year.
The Warriors have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 3rd-best in the NBA as the road team with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The matchup against Houston is a challenging one; when the Houston Rockets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8).
The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Golden State Warriors.
As a team, the Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 7th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging a measly 20.8 free throws per game.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 1.7 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
Stephen Curry is expected to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this contest.