Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+105/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has attempted 26.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 8.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Stephen Curry has attempted 11.1 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Stephen Curry has averaged 32.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Dallas is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Mavericks are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to decrease possessions for the Warriors.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 7th-worst in the league this year with a measly 20.9 free throws per game.
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the foul line.
Stephen Curry will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player production for all stats.

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