Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 22, 2025

Updated Jan 23, 2025 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has attempted 19.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry measures in the 100th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, posting 10.8 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 31.5 minutes per game this year.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in plays today from sharing the court with the fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).
The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 105.1 points per game as the road team settles in as the 2nd-lowest in the league over the last 15 games.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 30.6% on threes (9th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The 3rd-slowest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
Stephen Curry will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.

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