Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 13, 2025

Updated Jan 14, 2025 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has played 30.8 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Warriors will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Raptors).
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Stephen Curry has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 7.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has attempted just 10.6 treys per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 11.8 mark last season.
The Golden State Warriors have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have put up 17.1 points per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Raptors, marking this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home.
The matchup against Toronto may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Raptors are at home (5th-least in the league).

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