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Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Stephen Curry has sunk 9.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's made in all games this year.
  • Stephen Curry has played 31.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 80th percentile.
  • Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have logged 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Heat, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.
  • The 8th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Warriors.
  • The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Stephen Curry has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
  • In regard to offense, the Warriors's unimpressive 107.0 points per game places 5th-weakest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Golden State Warriors.

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