Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat · Jan 7, 2025

Updated Jan 8, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has sunk 9.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's made in all games this year.
Stephen Curry has played 31.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 80th percentile.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have logged 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Heat, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The 8th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Warriors.
The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
In regard to offense, the Warriors's unimpressive 107.0 points per game places 5th-weakest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Golden State Warriors.

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