Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 5, 2025

Updated Jan 6, 2025 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry lands in the 100th percentile for three-pointers converted, putting up 4.3 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry lands in the 80th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 31.1 minutes per game this year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league this year.
The Warriors are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 8th-most up-tempo pace road team in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2nd-best in in the league on their home court with 12.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have logged 15.2 points per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Kings, resulting in a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 free throws per game this year when the Sacramento Kings are away from home (8th-least in the NBA).

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