Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 30, 2024

Updated Dec 31, 2024 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has attempted 19.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 31.2 minutes per game this year.
This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, marking this as a favorable matchup.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Cavaliers).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has sunk a measly 4.2 threes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 4.8 rate last season.
The Warriors check in as the least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, making it tough to draw fouls.

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