Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 25, 2024

Updated Dec 26, 2024 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has averaged 30.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 79th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry registers in the 17th percentile for personal fouls, registering a measly 1.0 fouls per game this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 16 games while traveling, which ought to increase possessions for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2nd-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against Los Angeles may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted an enormous 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Los Angeles Lakers are the visiting squad (4th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has successfully made a lowly 7.1 buckets per game this year, significantly lower than his 8.8 rate last year.
In contrast to last year's 4.8 rate, Stephen Curry's three-pointers drained have tailed off this year to 4.1 per game.
As it relates to offense, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 105.7 points per game measures as the 6th-lowest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 5.3 3-point attempts per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, branding this as a tough matchup.
The Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

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