Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 12/6/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 6, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 2:44 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry places in the 93rd percentile, posting an enormous 22.6 points per game this year.
Stephen Curry has attempted 11.1 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Stephen Curry has accumulated 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (22nd percentile).
The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 4th-best in in the league as the home team with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goal attempts (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a hard matchup.
The Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-slowest tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line as the home team: 6th-worst in the league this year, averaging just 20.3 foul shots per game.
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).

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