Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has notched 21.8 points per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- one of the best in the league by this standard.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should raise plays for the Golden State Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Denver may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (3rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 4.8 rate, Stephen Curry's threes drained have regressed this season to 4.2 per game.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-weakest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team.
Stephen Curry will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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