Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 30, 2024

Updated Dec 1, 2024 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry lands in the 92nd percentile, putting up a monstrous 22.4 points per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have registered 29.2 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, creating a favorable matchup for offensive performance.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has attempted a mere 9.6 shots from downtown per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 11.8 rate last season.
The Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Phoenix Suns).
Stephen Curry will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player production in all facets of the game.

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