Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 26, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged 3.5 three-pointers per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Nets, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league this year.
The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Brooklyn may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nets are the visiting squad (6th-most in the league).
Stephen Curry will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has converted a mere 4.0 3-pointers per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 4.8 rate last season.
The Golden State Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the most sluggish tempo team in the league this year (the Nets).
Stephen Curry has converted just 3.2 foul shots per game this year, significantly less than his 4.0 rate last year.
In terms of getting to the foul line, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 19.7 foul shot attempts per game on their home court comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

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