Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 4, 2024

Updated Apr 5, 2024 12:19 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has attempted 11.9 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games while on the road.
The Rockets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should raise plays for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 10.2 rate, Stephen Curry's field goals made have tailed off this year to 8.8 per game.
Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have notched 12.8 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, labeling this as a hard matchup for offensive production.
When it comes to getting to the charity stripe, the Golden State Warriors's poor 16.1 foul shot attempts per game rates worst in the league over the last 25 games.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have attempted 1.7 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
Stephen Curry will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease stat production for all stats.