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Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Stephen Curry has attempted 12.0 treys per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

Stephen Curry has averaged 32.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Warriors.

The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 10.2 mark, Stephen Curry's field goals made have regressed this year to 8.8 per game.

The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for three-point attempts; when the Dallas Mavericks are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at drawing fouls recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games with a mere 16.2 foul shots per game.

The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

Stephen Curry will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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