Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry comes in at the 100th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, putting up 12.0 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry ranks in the 86th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 32.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 2.5 threes per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Hornets, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The 6th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 10.2 clip, Stephen Curry's shots from the field converted have fallen this year to 8.8 per game.
The Hornets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Golden State Warriors.
As a team, the Warriors have been poor at drawing fouls of late: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, tallying a lowly 16.8 free throws per game.
Stephen Curry will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player performance for all stats.

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