Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has attempted 19.9 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
Stephen Curry has attempted 12.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.2 minutes per game this year.
The 2nd-fastest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Warriors.

Favors Under

Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 17.1 points per game (12th-lowest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency.
Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have nabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Raptors (saving possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 25 games, averaging a lowly 18.5 free throws per game.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.
Stephen Curry will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.