Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has successfully made 10.6 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Stephen Curry has attempted 12.0 3-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry lands in the 89th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.5 minutes per game while at home this year.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry lands in the 82nd percentile for technical fouls, tallying a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have tallied 4.5 3-point attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, marking this as a challenging matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors.
The Denver Nuggets have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).