Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has averaged 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 88th percentile.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 2.8 three-pointers per game (26th-highest in the league) against the Hawks, identifying this as a good matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should increase plays for the Golden State Warriors.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
In contrast to last year's 4.4 clip, Stephen Curry's free throws drained have spiked this year to 5.3 per game.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 10.2 rate, Stephen Curry's shots from the field scored have been reduced this season to 8.5 per game.
Stephen Curry has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (86th percentile).
In terms of scoring, the Warriors's subpar 46.0% field goal rate with the home court advantage places 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team has collected 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the league) against the Hawks (lengthening possessions that can generate additional chances for offense).
The matchup against the Hawks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 free throws per game over the last 20 games (13th-least in the league).