Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 10:53 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-163/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -163.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has tallied 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 88th percentile.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 22.8 points per game (29th-most in the league) against the Grizzlies, branding this as a good matchup for offensive effectiveness.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 14thbest in in the league on the road with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has snagged 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies (losing possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).
Stephen Curry has converted a terrific 5.4 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 4.4 rate last season.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 10.2 clip, Stephen Curry's field goals sunk have regressed this year to 8.4 per game.
The Warriors have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Grizzlies).
Stephen Curry will likely experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this matchup.

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