Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 2:55 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has scored 27.7 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 98th percentile.
Stephen Curry has attempted 11.5 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 33.6 minutes per game this year.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost opportunities for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has accumulated 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games while at home, 0.1 more than he's accumulated in all games this season at home.
The Warriors check in as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 37.4% on field goals (14th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The 4th-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.

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