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Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry Points
Player Prop - 12/30/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Stephen Curry has attempted 11.5 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry lands in the 86th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 33.4 minutes per game this year.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have averaged 2.4 threes per game (22nd-highest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, making this a good matchup.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Warriors.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Stephen Curry has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.

The Warriors rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.

The Mavericks have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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