Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 3:23 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry ranks in the 100th percentile for shot attempts from downtown when playing away from home, posting 12.0 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 32.8 minutes per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry registers in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 1.3 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Clippers are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 21st-most field goals per game in the NBA this year (6.8).
The 3rd-fastest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.

Favors Under

In terms of shooting, the Warriors's lackluster 45.3% field goal percentage rates 5th-lowest in the league this year.
When playing away from home, the LA Clippers have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the LA Clippers are the visiting squad (12th-least in the league).
Stephen Curry is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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