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Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry comes in at the 82nd percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 31.8 minutes per game playing at home this year.Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 19.7 points per game (28th-most in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.The 10th-speediest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Golden State Warriors.The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).Stephen Curry has converted a whopping 6.2 free throws per game this season, quite a bit more than his 4.4 rate last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Stephen Curry has attempted a lowly 18.8 field goals per game this season, significantly lower than his 20.9 mark last season.Stephen Curry has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.As it relates to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 45.5% field goal rate at home places 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to decreased plays for the Warriors.This year, opposing squads have grabbed 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Clippers (retaining possessions that can result in more chances for offense).
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