Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has attempted 11.9 three-point shots per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game this year.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have shot 40.6% on three-pointers (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, making this a good matchup.
The Spurs have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.2 fouls per game last year.
When it comes to offense, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 110.0 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
The matchup vs. the San Antonio Spurs is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game since the start of last season (8th-least in the NBA).

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