Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 20.4 clip, Stephen Curry's shots taken have jumped this season to 21.0 per game.
Stephen Curry has attempted 12.6 3-pointers per game this year, significantly more than his 11.5 mark last year.
Stephen Curry has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 2.2 fouls per game last season.
The Warriors rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a difficult one for field goals; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 14th-least buckets per game in the league this year (4.6).
When playing away from home, the Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (15.0) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.4 free throws per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Thunder, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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