Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 10, 2023

Updated May 11, 2023 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has posted a whopping 29.6 points per game this season, significantly higher than his 26.0 points per game last season.
Stephen Curry has sunk 4.8 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
Stephen Curry has played 34.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a strong one; when the Lakers are away from home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (21.4).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Lakers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a lowly 20.2 free throws per game.

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