Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 10, 2023 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has scored a whopping 29.5 points per game this year, a big improvement over his 26.0 points per game last year.
Stephen Curry has attempted 11.4 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Stephen Curry has played 34.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 93rd percentile.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Warriors.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (90th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a difficult one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.9).
Playing at home, the Trail Blazers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been lousy at drawing fouls: worst in the league this year, totaling a mere 20.2 free throw attempts per game.
Stephen Curry will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces player production for all stats.

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