Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has scored an impressive 29.7 points per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 26.0 points per game last year.
Stephen Curry has successfully made a terrific 4.9 three-point shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 4.4 mark last season.
Stephen Curry has played 34.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The matchup vs. Denver is a positive one for threes; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 26th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (37.6%).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 0.0 technicals per game last year.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Warriors.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been lousy at getting to the free throw line: worst in the NBA this year, tallying a measly 20.1 free throw attempts per game.
Stephen Curry will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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