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Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Stephen Curry has scored a whopping 29.8 points per game this season, a big improvement over his 26.0 points per game last season.
  • Stephen Curry has converted a whopping 5.0 treys per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.4 rate last year.
  • Stephen Curry has averaged 34.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
  • The Golden State Warriors have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The Golden State Warriors have played at the quickest pace in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Stephen Curry has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.0 technicals per game last season.
  • The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a difficult one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 15th-least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.5).
  • The Golden State Warriors rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Stephen Curry will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production for all stats.

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