Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 10:41 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has scored a whopping 29.8 points per game this season, a big improvement over his 26.0 points per game last season.
Stephen Curry has converted a whopping 5.0 treys per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.4 rate last year.
Stephen Curry has averaged 34.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the quickest pace in the league this year.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.0 technicals per game last season.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a difficult one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 15th-least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.5).
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Stephen Curry will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production for all stats.

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