Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has posted 31.8 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 5.5 higher than he's posted in all games this year on the road.
Stephen Curry has attempted 11.4 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.
Stephen Curry has tallied 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
The matchup against the Hawks is a favorable one for field goals; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 26th-most field goals per game in the league this year (6.8).
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.4 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Warriors.
When playing at home, the Hawks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).