Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has averaged a terrific 29.7 points per game this season, significantly more than his 26.0 points per game last season.
Stephen Curry has made a terrific 4.9 shots from downtown per game this year, a big improvement over his 4.4 mark last year.
Stephen Curry has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (95th percentile).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a mere 26.2 free throws per game when the Timberwolves are playing at home this year (least in the NBA).
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (42.7%).