Stephen Curry Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has played 31.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
Stephen Curry has been called for 1.0 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 21st percentile -- among the league's least-whistled.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Stephen Curry stands to see a spike in productivity in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 4.8 rate, Stephen Curry's three-point shots made have tailed off this season to 4.3 per game.
The matchup against Phoenix is a challenging one for threes; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.6).
The 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.
The Suns have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Golden State Warriors.

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