Stephen Curry Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Made 3 Point Shots

Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 4:50 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has attempted 11.4 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.
Stephen Curry has played 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 88th percentile.
The Warriors will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz).
The Golden State Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's committed overall this year on the road.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged 1.1 3-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, making this a hard matchup.
The Utah Jazz have given up the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Stephen Curry ought to suffer a reduction in production across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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