Stephen Curry Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 27, 2024 11:06 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has tallied 5.3 assists per game away from home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.
Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry rates in the 86th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The 4th-speediest tempo away offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Magic have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.
Stephen Curry will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production across the board.

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