Stephen Curry Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 4, 2024

Updated Jan 5, 2024 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +123 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has totaled 5.4 assists per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.5 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year at home.
Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.5 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Stephen Curry stands to see a rise in performance for all stats due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has accumulated 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.2 more than he's accumulated overall this year at home.
The Warriors have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Warriors.
The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

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