Stephen Curry Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has put up 6.2 assists per game while on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
Stephen Curry has played 34.4 minutes per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Pistons have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 6 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 12thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
While at home, the Pistons have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Stephen Curry will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance across the board.

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