Stephen Curry Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 2:18 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has posted 6.2 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 96th percentile.
Stephen Curry has played 34.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The Clippers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors.
The Clippers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Stephen Curry will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lowers stat production for all stats.

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