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Spencer Jones

Spencer Jones Points
Player Prop - 12/29/2025

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Spencer Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, resulting in a positive matchup.
  • The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
  • Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 5th-most sluggish pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 1stworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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