Spencer Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2025

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Spencer Jones

NBA · Player Props

Spencer Jones

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 23, 2025

Updated Dec 24, 2025 3:19 AM UTC

Analysis

Spencer Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-137/-137).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.
Over the last 17 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (8th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the least treys per game in the NBA this year (0.8).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league without the home court advantage this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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