Spencer Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2025

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Spencer Jones

NBA · Player Props

Spencer Jones

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 3, 2025

Updated Dec 3, 2025 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Spencer Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to offense, the Denver Nuggets's superb 124.6 points per game ranks best in the NBA this year.
The Pacers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (most in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 2.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pacers, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The 3rd-most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 10thworst in in the league while playing away from home with a mere 10.7 offensive boards per game this year.

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