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Spencer Jones

Spencer Jones Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Spencer Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Mavericks, designating this as a good matchup.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 7 games with the home court advantage.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase possessions for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.

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