Spencer Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2025

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Spencer Jones

NBA · Player Props

Spencer Jones

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 28, 2025

Updated Nov 29, 2025 4:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Spencer Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while at home with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. San Antonio may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.9 foul shots per game over the last 24 games when the Spurs are the visiting team (4th-most in the league).

Favors Under

In regard to shots from downtown, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 12.3 made threes per game when playing at home measures as the 6th-lowest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the San Antonio Spurs is a hard one; they have allowed the 5th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs over the last 15 games (15.8).
The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

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