Spencer Dinwiddie Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2025

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Spencer Dinwiddie

NBA · Player Props

Spencer Dinwiddie

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat · Feb 13, 2025

Updated Feb 14, 2025 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Spencer Dinwiddie has successfully made 54.2% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 14.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
Spencer Dinwiddie has made 79.2% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 37.7% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year with the home court advantage.
The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against the Heat is a positive one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).
The matchup vs. the Heat may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Spencer Dinwiddie has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Mavericks.
The Mavericks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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