Spencer Dinwiddie Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2024

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Spencer Dinwiddie

NBA · Player Props

Spencer Dinwiddie

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 30, 2024

Updated Dec 31, 2024 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
The Mavericks are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Kings).
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Spencer Dinwiddie has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 13.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (most in the league).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Spencer Dinwiddie places in the 8th percentile for scoring prowess with a weak 33.8% rate this year.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Kings are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have put up the 9th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (30.6%).
Spencer Dinwiddie will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production in all stat categories.

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